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On Statistical Significance by Beracah YankamaDirector, StudentsReview
When students and parents are reading reviews, often-times the question will come up, “how statistically significant is this data?”.
How can only a few reviews be representative of several thousand students' opinions? Few people really understand
how statistical significance works or what it really means. While statistical significance itself has a meaning rooted in
replicability of the data, most people interpret it as, “is this enough data to trust?”. Consumers tend
to interpret statistical significance as the “quantity needed to dismiss exceptions”. It is often used as a marketing
term by pharmaceuticals. Consider this: “1/1000 experienced side effects when taking our drug”. 'Statistical significance' as many people
understand it, will lead you to believe that the 1 person was some kind of an exception, a chance occurrance,
the side effects are not likely to happen to you. Suppose, however, that the drug in question was given to
999 adults, and 1 child. The child experienced the side effects. Now is it statistically significant? Invariably
about 66% of people are satisfied with their college. 33% however, are not, and wished they had gone
elsewhere. The larger percentage would convince you that the 66%, the majority, is all you need — “most people
worked out ok”. Because that lets the blame fall on the consumer, not the school. Lets consider one
last example. Suppose that a school consists of 95 males and 5 females. The 95 males say the safety of
the school is great, then 4 of the females say it is “ok”. The idea of Stastical significance might
have you (the generic, genderless consumer) believe that the safety is great. You the parent, you the prospective female student,
should be rightly curious of any exception. What you really want to hear is from the 1 girl who might
have been attacked at night, who tells her story. Does the fact that 4 out of 5 women said
that safety is “ok” matter? Does the opinion of the 95 other men matter? As the parent, the prospective
student, you want to know about what happened to that 1 girl, because that tells you that 'your little girl'
might not be safe on the campus. You don't want to know “the probability of attack”, you want to know
a clear-cut, answer to the question, “does it happen, or not?" After all, most people don't die when they cross
the street — but does that mean you shouldn't look both ways? StudentsReview is intended to catch the
*exceptions*, the people who were misled by marketing, by well publicized majority opinion, into making an incorrect decision.
Read the opinions knowing that they are experiences. They *did* happen. They didn't have some “probability of
happening”, and weren't some kind of “just a complainer” event. Where something happens once, it happens twice, so
read, learn, and make an informed decision. Don't let others dupe you into dismissing evidence so that you
make the same uninformed decision that they did. Many people simply do not want to face the fact
that they may have, or are making a mistake. StudentsReview exposes the experience behind the student, so that the reader
can determine what questions they should be asking for themselves. As always, caution is the best advice, and
we've provided a mechanism for students to be cautioned. Author:
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• What is a good school?
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